Long Lead-Time Streamflow Forecasting Using Oceanic-Atmospheric Oscillation Indices

Long lead-time streamflow forecasting of the North Platte River incorporating oceanic–atmospheric climate variability

Coupled Oceanic-Atmospheric Variability and U.S. Streamflow

Lead Agency National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

This document contains an Environmental Assessment (EA), Regulatory Impact Review (RIR), and Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis (IRFA) for two actions. The EA and IRFA analyze the impacts of the Federal actions to: 1) establishing the 2004 harvest specifications for groundfish target species in the groundfish fisheries of the Bering Sea, Aleutian Islands, and Gulf of Alaska fishery managem...

Forecasting Temperature Indices with Time-varying Long-memory Models

The hedging of weather risks has become extremely relevant in recent years, promoting the diffusion of weather derivative contracts. The pricing of such contracts require the development of appropriate models for the prediction of the underlying weather variables. Within this framework, we present a modification of the double long memory ARFIMA-FIGARCH model introducing time-varying memory coef...

Multivariate streamflow forecasting using independent component analysis

[1] Seasonal forecasting of streamflow provides many benefits to society, by improving our ability to plan and adapt to changing water supplies. A common approach to developing these forecasts is to use statistical methods that link a set of predictors representing climate state as it relates to historical streamflow, and then using this model to project streamflow one or more seasons in advanc...